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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 12/18 11:29
Dressed Cattle Cash Begin to Trade $4.00 Higher
Some light cash cattle trade is currently developing in the North at $358,
which is $4.00 higher than last week's weighted average.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
The livestock complex is trading mixed into Thursday's noon hour as the
complex continues to see the cattle contracts dip lower, but the lean hog
contracts are trading higher. Some light cash cattle trade has developed in the
North at $358, which is $4.00 higher than last week's weighted average. March
corn is up 3 1/2 cents per bushel and January soybean meal is up $1.20. The Dow
Jones Industrial Average is up 105.57 points and the NASDAQ is up 308.15 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
The live cattle complex is again trading lower, as though some light cash
cattle trade has been reported at higher prices again this week, traders still
don't believe they possess enough well-rounded support to successfully conquer
the market's 100-day moving average. This leaves the complex only one way to
go, which is lower. February live cattle are down $0.90 at $228.65, April live
cattle are down $0.62 at $228.50 and June live cattle are down $0.37 at
$222.37. Even though packers bought the largest weekly trade volume of 2024 and
2025 last week at just over 103,000 head, fed cash cattle prices are trending a
tick higher again this morning as packers are still in need of more cattle.
Some light trade has been reported in the North by a regional packer at $358,
which is $4.00 higher than last week's weighted average. A few more bids are on
the table in parts of Kansas, but no Southern trade has developed yet. Asking
prices remain firm in the South at $232 to $233, and in the North at $360 plus.
Boxed beef prices are mixed: choice up $0.95 ($357.04) and select down $2.38
($344.05) with a movement of 46 loads ($31.77 loads of choice, 6.76 loads of
select, zero loads of trim and 7.52 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
Continuing to follow the direction of the live cattle complex, the feeder
cattle contracts are trading lower into Thursday's noon hour. January feeders
are down $0.67 at $340.85, March feeders are down $1.40 at $334.92 and April
feeders are down $1.70 at $333.32. Although the market continues to see
adequate fundamental support, it's likely the complex could keep with this
steady/somewhat lower trend as traders don't believe this is the best time to
advance the complex over a major resistance threshold with the Christmas
holiday just days ahead.
LEAN HOGS:
The lean hog complex is trading mostly higher as traders are to see pork
cutout values up over $2.00 higher. And with Wednesday's lower technical close,
the market is no longer up against immediate resistance pressure. February lean
hogs are up $0.87 at $83.87, April lean hogs are up $0.87 at $88.82 and June
lean hogs are up $0.85 at $101.52.
The projected lean hog index for 12/17/2025 is up $0.01 at $83.88, and the
actual index for 12/16/2025 is up $0.57 at $83.87. Pork cutouts total 98.45
loads with 78.24 loads of pork cuts and 20.21 loads of trim. Pork cutout
values: up $2.18, 100.72. Hog prices on the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report
average $68.27, down $1.90, ranging from $65.00 to $70.00 on 1,670 head and a
five-day rolling average of $70.20.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached at shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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